Thursday, March 16, 2017

Part 1: 150 Years of Canadian Aerospace History

Before Canada: HMS Agamemnon, the Telegraph Cable, William Leitch & "The Fur Country"




Graphic c/o Pixabay.
         By Robert Godwin
Canada's aerospace raison d'être has always derived from its immense size, its location in the far north as a vast, barely-tracked wilderness of incalculable resources and the logical requirements relating to defence, communications, utilization and exploration which naturally follow from its size and location. 
It's also worth noting that the beginnings of Canada's aerospace history predates Canada itself...
Just over 150 years ago His Majesty's Ship Agamemnon took on the daunting task of trying to lay a telegraph cable across the bottom of the Atlantic Ocean. It was one of the most ambitious engineering projects ever undertaken, and if it worked, for the first time in history there would be almost instantaneous communication between Europe and North America. 

At first, both the British and United States' governments saw little purpose to the project, but several years later, when the first telegraph message arrived via the eastern coast of Canada, an awakening took place, and politicians and businessmen alike suddenly realised the power and benefits of instant communication over ocean-spanning distances. 

HMS Agamemnon, a 91-gun Royal Navy battleship ordered by the Admiralty in 1849, was part of the British contingent of the 1857-1958 cable laying expedition, along with HMS Leopard and HMS Cyclops. As outlined in the undated Atlantic-cable.com post, "Cabot Strait Cable and 1857-58 Atlantic Cables," the United States Government provided USS Niagara as their cable layer with USS Susquehanna to assist. Although their first attempt in 1857 was unsuccessful, the project was resumed the following year and Agamemnon and Niagara successfully joined the ends of their two sections of cable in the middle of the Atlantic on July 29th, 1858 . Graphic c/o Atlantic-cable.com.

Still living under the rule of British authority, Canada was a vast barely-tracked wilderness of incalculable resources - almost ten million square kilometres of ice, trees, rivers, lakes and granite. It was divided into Lower and Upper Canada and had yet to combine into the Confederation that exists today. The cable across the Atlantic was successfully laid and by 1866 it had begun to earn money, but it would be decades before the great Canadian wilderness would relinquish its secrets and allow similar telegraphic communication to pass from coast to coast. 

During the 19th century thousands of immigrants from Scotland and elsewhere came to British North America to find a better life. One of the biggest obstacles to overcome was the fragmentation of the country into different jurisdictions. Two émigrés from opposite sides of Scotland, fought on opposite sides of the political aisle, until it became clear that the only way to truly breach the wilderness was the grand vision of a united country. Those two men, John Alexander Macdonald and George Brown, put aside their differences, and along with the native-born Canadian George-Étienne Cartier, set about confederating the disparate parts of an immense country. 

Another Scottish émigré, and a friend of Macdonald's, was a minister named William Leitch. Leitch was that most unusual of things, a Presbyterian scientist; a man of God and a polymath who was steeped in the lessons of natural philosophy, physics, chemistry, biology and astronomy. In 1859 Leitch was invited to come to John Macdonald's hometown of Kingston Ontario to take on the role of Principal at one of the new Canadian universities — Queen's College.  In 1860 he arrived with his telescope and books and set about the task of bringing science to his small roster of students. 

William Leitch (ca. 1861). For more on Leitch, check out the October 4th, 2015 post, "Rocket Spaceflight Accurately Described by Scottish-Canadian Scientist in 1861." Image c/o The Space Library. 

Leitch had worked and studied at the Horslet Hill optical and magnetic observatory in Glasgow at a time when a global initiative had been undertaken by the Royal Society to try and understand why the earth's magnetic field seemed to fluctuate and change over time. The Royal Society established a string of magnetic observatories around the Empire and built one of them in Toronto — it was Canada's first observatory. 

As this research program began to bear fruit in the early 1850s it became apparent that Canada played a unique part in this great cosmic puzzle. The north magnetic pole was located somewhere in the frozen wilderness of Canada's arctic. This random quirk of fate would be a major factor in everything that was to come in Canada's aerospace future. 

To tame such a huge swathe of our home planet was going to take generations of work by scientists and engineers, and the key to success was being able to communicate over wide tracts of territory, when much of it had never even been explored. New technologies like the telegraph would have to be deployed, but it was soon learned that the long cables, even those laid in the dark depths of the ocean were subject to interference from cosmic sources, in particular the cycles of the sun. 

Astronomers like Leitch had been lecturing for years on astronomy and also on the sun's disturbing prominence's, and he had even had a hand in teaching astronomy to Lord Kelvin, the man who had been responsible for laying that first cable across the Atlantic from Ireland to Canada.  


After it had been determined that the sun was interacting with the earth's drifting magnetic fields it was not long before those same fields were also proven to be the source of that most magnificent aerial display, the Aurora Borealis, or Northern Lights.  The first peoples to arrive in Canada in prehistoric times had marvelled at these displays of ionized particles, and their oral history attributed them to the place where their ancestors went to play a sort-of primitive version of soccer. 

Another story suggested that the fall of night was caused by a huge animal skin being drawn across the sky and the auroral lights were the skin catching fire. As terrifying a prospect as that might seem, the enigmatic lights would prove to be a somewhat less lethal but much more intractable problem to solve. 

When William Leitch arrived in Canada he had already begun to imagine a future where it might be possible to investigate solar prominences and other phenomena by travelling into space. In the late summer of 1861 he wrote an essay entitled "A Journey Through Space" in which he postulated that the best way to make such a journey would be by using a rocket, operating under the simple principals of action and reaction. 

Leitch realised that a vehicle powered by such a device would be more efficient in space. His insight seems to represent the first time that anyone had considered such a trip, using the right device, for all of the right reasons. William Leitch would not live to see his imaginary rocket-ship venture into the cold depths of space. He died at the age of 49 and was buried with honour in Kingston Ontario exactly 93 years to the day before the first real spacecraft would fly.


Six years after Macdonald, Brown and Cartier had agreed on a vision of a united Canada, the great French novelist Jules Verne wrote a book about scientists exploring the untracked Canadian wilderness. It was called "Le Pays des Fourrures" (The Fur Country) and it told the story of a group of adventurers who are sent above the 70th parallel to a location named Cape Bathurst, where the astronomer in the group is seeking out information about the night sky. Like so many of his other stories, Verne seemed to have an uncanny knack for recognizing the best places to set his scientific romances. 

Just seven years after his novel, in 1879, a group of scientists gathered in Germany to propose just such a campaign, but it would involve contributors from around the globe travelling and establishing research stations in the Polar Regions. By the summer of 1881 the newly united country of Canada was being asked to contribute to this great undertaking. 

The year of 1882 would be designated the first International Polar Year and its legacy would ultimately herald the space age. 
Robert Godwin.
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Robert Godwin is the owner and founder of Apogee Space Books. the Space Curator at the Canadian Air & Space Museum and an American Astronautical Society History Committee Member.
He has written or edited over 100 books including the award winning series "The NASA Mission Reports" and appeared on dozens of radio and television programs in Canada, the USA and England as an expert not only on space exploration but also on music.  
His books have been discussed on CNN, the CBC, the BBC and CBS 60 Minutes. He produced the first ever virtual reality panoramas of the Apollo lunar surface photography and the first multi-camera angle movie of the Apollo 11 moonwalk. His latest book was written with the late Frederick I Ordway III and is called "2001 The Heritage and Legacy of the Space Odyssey" about the history of spaceflight at the movies.
Next Week, "The International Polar Year, the Silver Dart, Canada's First Air Show and Aerospace Becomes Serious Business," in part two as "150 Years of Canadian Aerospace History" continues.

On sale now, at Apogee Books.

Monday, March 13, 2017

"Metamaterials" and You!

          By Brian Orlotti

A recently released report has analysed the global metamaterials market, revealing that it is poised for growth of around 19.8% over the next decade, reaching approximately $3.11Bln US ($4.18Bln CDN) by 2025.

Canada has been an active player in this realm, with a variety of new developments.


As outlined in the March 9th, 2017 PRNewswire press release, "Global $3.11 Billion Metamaterials Technologies Market Analysis & Trends 2013-2016 - Industry Forecast to 2025 - Research and Markets," the report, entitled "Global Metamaterials Technologies Market Analysis & Trends - Industry Forecast to 2025," presented detailed market analysis based on interviews with professionals from across the industry supported by secondary research.

It focused on 23 nations including the US, Canada, Mexico, the UK, Germany, Spain, France, Italy, China, Brazil, Saudi Arabia, and South Africa.

Metamaterials are materials engineered to have properties not found in nature. They are made from assemblies of multiple elements arranged in repeating patterns and fashioned from composite materials such as metals or plastics. Metamaterials derive their unique properties not from the characteristics of their base materials, but from their resulting structures.

These structures’ precise shape, geometry, size, orientation and arrangement make metamaterials capable of manipulating electromagnetic waves, such as light and sound. By blocking, absorbing, enhancing, or bending these waves, metamaterials achieve benefits beyond those of conventional materials.


Metamaterials have a wide variety of potential applications. Researchers have shown off optical invisibility cloaks, audio dampeners, as well as "unfeelability" cloaks. Other applications in development include:
  • Tiny elastic ceramics that spring back after being squashed by up to 50%
  • Microchip-sized phased-array antennas
  • Earthquake shielding for buildings
  • Superlenses that would allow imaging beyond the limits of conventional glass lenses
  • Materials with programmable stiffness
Canadians have mounted their own noteworthy efforts in the metamaterials field.

Metamaterial Technologies Inc. (MTI), a Dartmouth, Nova Scotia based firm, has created an anti-laser guard that utilizes metamaterials to protect aircraft pilots from the increasingly common threat of laser strikes. Designed by MTI’s optical filters division, Lamda Guard, the guard is a thin film that can be fixed to the inside of a cockpit window, reflecting excess light away from its surface to protect pilots’ eyes. The guard is made from a flexible, colour-neutral photo-polymer film.

On Feb 21st, MTI announced a partnership with European aerospace giant Airbus to test and certify its new product at Halifax’s Discovery Centre.


At the University of Waterloo’s Centre for Intelligent Antenna and Radio Systems (CIARS), engineering Professor Safieddin (Ali) Safavi-Naeini and his fellow researchers are working on the next generation of advanced, low-cost "intelligent" antennas utilizing metamaterials.

As outlined in the May 13th, 2016 Waterloo Engineering post, "Next generation of advanced, low cost, intelligent antennas," these advanced antennas would be  initially used in communications among cars, aircraft, ships and satellites and eventually incorporated into consumer goods such as cellphones and computers.

CIARS has partnered with Ottawa, Ontario-based C-Com Satellite Systems Inc. to develop small modular phased array antennas intended to shake up the satellite antenna industry. These antenna modules can be manufactured in a variety of shapes and sizes which can conform to both flat and curved surfaces, using existing 3D printers designed for building low-cost electronic circuits. 

Unlike typical phased array antennas, which require phase-shifters on each separate element, Dr. Safavi-Naeini’s antenna modules include onboard phase shifters without the need for additional power-consuming components, on a printed board compatible with standard circuit manufacturing techniques.

The completed array will even continue to function if some of the components are damaged, exhibiting "graceful degradation" of capability rather than catastrophic failure.

With their layered capabilities now coming to light, metamaterials definitely live up to their name.
Brian Orlotti.
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Brian Orlotti is a network administrator at KPMG and a regular contributor to the Commercial Space blog.

The State of the CDN Space Sector, Our "Innovation Agenda," UrtheCast, exactEarth, More Government & Orbcomm, Which is #1!

          By Henry Stewart

It's just got to be noteworthy that the "second" most important space story in Canada this week (after the ongoing selection of two new CSA astronauts) is the announcement from the Canadian Space Agency (CSA) that they have released their most recent survey of the Canadian space industry, covering the year 2014.

Yes. 2014. But there's more!

The "State of the Canadian Space Sector 2014" is a direct follow-on to the Euroconsult produced "2015 Comprehensive Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of the Canadian Space Sector," which covered 2013 and utilized methodologies developed by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). As outlined by CSA president Sylvain Laporte in the preamble, "the 2014 survey results indicate that the space sector has achieved revenues of $5.4B and a workforce of over 10,000. Upstream segment activities related to research, engineering and manufacturing account for $1B. Downstream segment operations, products and services account for $4.4B, with Satellite Communication dominating the downstream segment. Domestic, and particularly commercial, sales emerged as the most important area for growth in 2014. At the same time, export markets experienced some contraction. Overall, the space sector contributed $2.9B to gross domestic product (GDP) and helped maintain 25,000 jobs (direct, indirect and induced) in the wider Canadian economy." For a direct comparison between the OECD methodologies and the techniques used in the earlier, CSA created "State of the Canadian Space Sector 2013," check out the June 12th, 2016 post, "A Quick Conversation with Euroconsult on the 'Comprehensive Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of the Canadian Space Sector.'" Graphic c/o CSA. 

The 2% year over year growth rate for the Canadian space industry as reported in the new document (which was released in February 2017) is substantially lower than the 9% year over year worldwide growth rate reported in the "2015 Space Report; The Authoritative Guide to Global Space Activity," the annual publication of the Colorado based Space Foundation.

And the 2015 Space Report, which also covered 2014, was released twenty months ago, in July 2015. As outlined in the July 18th, 2015 press release, "The Space Report 2015 PDF is Now Available," the larger international based report indicated that:
... the global space economy grew slightly more than 9 percent (in 2014), reaching a total of $330 billion worldwide, up from 2013's $302.5 billion. 
Together, commercial space activities made up 76 percent of the global space economy. The industry as a whole demonstrated a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of seven percent from 2005 to 2014, nearly doubling in size over the course of the decade.
For those who'd like something a little more current, here are a few of the other stories we're tracking for the Commercial Space blog:

  • It's hardly surprising given our first story this week, but it's worth noting that the Canadian Federal government is still in the midst of finalizing its "Innovation Agenda," and the allocation of the $800Mln CDN expected to be spent to support it over the next four years.
At least that's the story in the March 13th, 2017 Canadian Press post, "Feds still finalizing $800M innovation fund." According to the article, "an $800-million commitment central to the Trudeau government’s economic growth strategy is expected to be divvied up within the next few months among groups and companies that can persuade Ottawa they’re best positioned to help young, high-potential firms flourish." 
Ottawa hopes those companies will evolve into strong job creators able to provide Canada with an economic boost and long-term, high paying jobs. However, according to the article, "even with this month’s release of a budget billed as a plan focused on innovation, specifics on the $800-million program will likely have to wait a little longer."
Evidently, at least according to the article, there is still some questions about whether investments will be provided directly to high-growth Canadian companies or focused on funding the universities and incubators which support them.
As outlined in the January 16th, 2017 post, "The REAL Funding Opportunity Behind the Upcoming Canadian Space Agency 'Long-Term Strategy'," no one expects any major money to show up for science and space related CSA driven projects until well after June 2017, when the government said it will unveil its new "long-term strategy" for space. 
The Federal budget is expected to be released next Wednesday, March 22nd.
Some space agencies just know how to do it right. As outlined in the March 8th, 2017 NASA press release, "NASA Selects Over 100 Small Business Projects to Advance Space Innovation," NASA has "selected 133 proposals from US companies to conduct research and develop technologies that will enable NASA's future missions into deep space and benefit the US economy." The proposals, valued at approximately $100Mln US (approximately $135Mln CDN), were selected under Phase II of NASA’s Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) program. It's unfortunate that the CSA has been publicly opposed to the US SBIR program. To learn why, it's worth taking a look at the July 19th, 2009 post “Canadian Space Agency Provides "No Dedicated Programs" to Support Small Aerospace Firms." and the July 24th, 2009 follow-up post "OK, So Maybe the CSA Does Provide Some Support for Small Aerospace Firms" Graphic c/o NASA.
  • Vancouver, BC based UrtheCast is raising money. 
As outlined in the March 6th, 2016 UrtheCast press release, "UrtheCast Corp. Announces $17 Million Bought Deal," the company has entered into an agreement with a syndicate of underwriters co-led by Clarus Securities Inc. and Canaccord Genuity Corp,, where the underwriters will purchase, on a "bought deal" basis, 11,333,340 common shares of the Company at $1.50 CDN per common share. 
Aggregate gross proceeds to the company should total just over $17Mln CDN. 
The offering is expected to close "on or about" March 23rd, 2017 and is subject to certain conditions including (but not limited to) the approval of the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX). 
As outlined in the press release, "the securities have not been, and will not be, registered under the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "U.S. Securities Act"), or any U.S. state securities laws, and may not be offered or sold in the United States without registration under the U.S. Securities Act and all applicable state securities laws or compliance with the requirements of an applicable exemption therefrom."
The advantage of the bought deal from the issuer's perspective is that they do not have to worry about financing risk, which is assumed by the purchaser or, in this case, by the underwriters.
  • Cambridge, Ontario based ExactEarth Ltd. has reported a $2Mln CDN loss in its fiscal first quarter as revenue from a federal government contract fell sharply.
As outlined in the March 8th, 2017 Waterloo Region Record post, "ExactEarth Q1 loss doubles on lower revenue from government contract," the scrappy supplier of automatic identification system (AIS) ocean tracking services (spun off from what used to be COM DEV International before it was purchased by New Jersey based conglomerate Honeywell International in January 2016), lost only $1Mln CDN during the same period last year.
Orbcomm CEO Eisenberg. Photo c/o Orbcomm.
ExactEarth recorded revenue of $3.3Mln CDN in the three months ended January 31st, down from $6.4Mln CDN in the first quarter a year earlier. 
The company blamed the decreased revenue on a Canadian Federal government contract, which accounted for the $3.1Mln CDN difference. 
That contract was originally outlined in the February 14th, 2016 post, "Newborn exactEarth Faces its First Battle for the Worm," and revisited in the May 7th, 2016 post, "Orbcomm, Skywave, exactEarth, CSA Rovers, High School Robotics, MDA, Emerson, Magellan, Honeywell & UrtheCast," 
ExactEarth said it booked $8.9Mln CDN in orders in the first quarter, up from $4.2Mln CDN in the same period a year earlier. 
To no one's surprise, exactEarth's competition for the Canadian government contract, New Jersey based Orbcomm, trumpeted its success to all who would listen. 
As outlined in the March 2nd, 2017 Space Intel Report post, "Orbcomm: Canadian, Australian, European wins show our AIS dominance," Orbcomm CEO  Marc J. Eisenberg said "the company's recent wins of satellite-based AIS maritime vessel surveillance increase Orbcomm's AIS business to around $8 million per year," or more than half of what Orbcomm views as the total global addressable market. 
In other words, they're number one! Canadian firms will just have to wait for the next Canadian government opportunity.
For more, check out future posts in the Commercial Space blog.
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Henry Stewart is the pseudonym of a Toronto based aerospace writer.

Tuesday, March 07, 2017

The Canadian Space Agency is Thinking About "Deep Space" and Relevance

          By Chuck Black

The Canadian Space Agency (CSA) has announced that it, along with "space agencies around the world" are "exploring how to contribute to the exciting new opportunities that will ensue as humanity takes its next steps into the solar system."

Groovy. This blog, along with most of the rest of the Canadian space industry, is absolutely up for that. We'd just like to be kept updated on a few of the specifics.

However, as outlined in the March 6th, 2017 CSA press release, "Canada prepares for the future of human spaceflight to deep space," not a lot of those details are currently available, although public comments on the process stress how very, very pleased everyone is.

According to the press release, "Over the course of the next year, the Canadian Space Agency (CSA) will provide multiple opportunities for Canada's space community (academia, industry and government departments) to propose innovative ideas for science and technologies in areas that could contribute to future human space exploration and generate benefits on earth. Opportunities to submit proposals will be consolidated" on the new CSA Funding Opportunities website.

Not that there's anything wrong with that.

It might even be a useful if the funding opportunities website didn't just link to the already existing CSA Announcements of Opportunity website and the main page of the Canadian Federal government Buyandsell.gc.ca website, which already posts CSA announcements of opportunities (AO), letters of interest (LOI), request for information (RFI) and other types of requests and funding opportunities.

A useful reminder that, except for an overall improvement in style, the current Justin Trudeau Liberal government isn't all that much different from the previous Stephen Harper Conservative government. This is especially true of our science and technology policy, which is currently wrapped around the high sounding idea of "Canada's Innovation Agenda," although most of the practical policy details are missing. The only real exception is the broad bipartisan support enjoyed by the recommendations of the 2012 David Emerson led Aerospace Review, which are mostly not discussed, since they led to the removal of procurement and policy making from the CSA portfolio in 2014. Graphic c/o the Winter 2017 Canadian Dimension magazine.

What the CSA is actually doing is madly hunting down data and information to bolster the concept that it's a useful organization.

It's why, as outlined in the March 6th, 2017 post "CSA offering $100K to $2Mln for STDP Industrial Capability-Building Contributions, MAYBE!," the CSA is posting announcements of opportunities (AOs) to provide financial support to businesses in the Canadian space industry that develop technological innovations with a potential for tangible economic benefits for Canada, and "to encourage the space industry to collaborate with the academic sector in the implementation of the AOs by promoting projects that will include student participation."

Maybe those academics and students will think more kindly of the CSA now, even through there is not a lot of money involved, no formal funding commitments have been made (the AO is pretty explicit about this) and any future funding is quite the ways down the road.

That's also why, as outlined in the February 13th, 2017 post, "OMX, Trump, Trudeau, Bombardier's Bailout, the UK Space Agency, UK Spaceports, CSA Earth Imaging Grants & MAFIC Studios," the CSA is exploring "the complementary use of drones and satellites to enhance EO applications and provide more comprehensive solutions to end-users," through its Earth Observation Application Development Program (EOADP).

AIAC VP Christie. Photo c/o author.
Maybe the drone industry will think more kindly of the CSA now, especially if they feel the need for an intermediary to manage their requirements (one of the listed reasons for the program is "to encourage the space industry to collaborate with the academic sector in the implementation of the AOs by promoting projects that will include student participation").

The need to develop a positive public image might also be at least part of the rational for the recent collaboration between the CSA, the Aerospace Industries Association of Canada (AIAC) and the Canadian Space Commerce Association (CSCA).

As outlined in the February 28th, 2017 SpaceQ post, "‘Old Space’ ‘New Space’ Collaborate on Canadian Space 2.0 Round Table," not much was said at the meeting, but a lot of people attended and everyone was publicly pleased with the result. According to AIAC executive vice-president Iain Christie, who also acted as the event's moderator, "we are very pleased with the discussions that took place at the Space 2.0 event last week."

Of course, most of what's really going on is the simple jockeying for Federal funding which is typical of Canada's pre-budget political process. We certainly should not begrudge the players looking for a few crumbs of sustenance in Budget 2017.

But the Federal liberals have already stated that real changes to the CSA, including the development of a new space plan for the long-term, won't happen until June 2017, well after this budget is released.

That's the real reason why, as outlined in the January 16th, 2017 post, "The REAL Funding Opportunity Behind the Upcoming Canadian Space Agency 'Long-Term Strategy'," no one expects any money will show up for science and space related projects until well after June 2017.

But, at least until then, all the players remain "very pleased." And our space agency is also "thinking" about "deep space."
Chuck Black.
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Chuck Black is the editor of the Commercial Space blog.

Monday, March 06, 2017

NASA's Eclipse by the Private Sector

          By Brian Orlotti

Over the past week, four leading commercial space firms have announced major new projects. In the same time frame, across-the-board US government budget cuts by the Trump Administration have been announced likely targeting agencies including NASA and NOAA.

These events, combined with the ongoing discussions regarding Mars settlement between US President Trump and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk, could foreshadow both the NewSpace industry’s rise to preeminence and the eclipse of NASA.


To begin with, and as outlined in the February 27th, 2017 Guardian post, "SpaceX to send two people around the moon who paid for a 2018 private mission," Hawthorne, California based SpaceX announced that it will send two unnamed private citizens on a journey around the Moon aboard a crewed version of its Dragon spacecraft in late 2018.

The two paying individuals will undergo health and fitness tests and begin initial training later this year.

As outlined in the article, "if SpaceX accomplishes the trip before Nasa or another space agency can send astronauts to the moon, it would be the first lunar mission with humans in 45 years, on a course that would extend past the record 249,000 miles traveled by the Apollo 13 astronauts in 1970."

According to SpaceX CEO Elon Musk, if NASA really wants to go to the Moon, he would be happy to bounce the paying passengers to a later flight.

Bigelow graphic promoting its BA 330 inflatable space module in orbit around the Moon. Graphic c/o Bigelow Aerospace. 

Just days later, Las Vegas, Nevada based Bigelow Aerospace unveiled plans for a orbital lunar outpost by tweeting images of its BA 330 module orbiting the Moon with the caption, ‘If initiated soon, a lunar depot could be in operation by the end of 2020.’

As outlined in the March 1st, 2017 Florida Politics post, "Robert Bigelow: ‘We stand ready’ to send station to the moon," Bigelow Aerospace CEO Robert Bigelow stated that he decided to go public with his lunar plans after hearing President Trump’s February 28th, 2017 speech to the US Congress, which contained a vague reference to “American footprints on distant worlds.”

Bigelow also said he is "picking up President Donald Trump signals that he wants to see something exciting happening with NASA in his first term, and Bigelow believes that is a signal to those inside NASA to start thinking moon again."

Bigelow Aerospace is marketing its B330 module for combined use by private and public sector astronauts focused in industry and research, commercial exploration and space tourism. A Bigelow module is currently attached to the International Space Station (ISS) for testing.

Most of the 200 current employees of the new 180,000-square-foot Virgin Orbit manufacturing facility in Long Beach, California. As outlined in the March 3rd, 2017 Engaget post "Virgin Galactic forms new company for low-cost smallsat launches," the new company will focus "on low-cost small satellite launches based on the company's LauncherOne system." Photo c/o Virgin Orbit.

The next day, the UK based Virgin Group announced the creation of a new spin-off company, Virgin Orbit, that will focus on satellite launches. Operating out of Long Beach, CA, the new firm’s 200 employees will work out of a 180,000-square-foot manufacturing facility.

As outlined in the March 2nd, 2017 Space.com post, "Virgin Galactic Unveils Spin-Off Virgin Orbit for Small-Satellite Launches," Virgin Orbit will implement the LauncherOne program, an initiative to launch small satellites from a Boeing 747 aircraft. Under the program, the 747 (named ‘Cosmic Girl’) will carry a ‘LauncherOne’ rocket beneath a wing up to 35,000 feet.

Upon reaching this altitude, the rocket will be released and fire its first stage engine to head into space. The rocket will then separate and ignite its second stage, boosting the vehicle and its payload into Earth orbit.

Amazon's Bezos, eyeing the Moon! Amazon and Blue Origin CEO Jeff Bezos also owns the Washington Post plus a variety of other business interests, and is listed as the 5th richest man in the world (according to Forbes Magazine annual listing of the World's Billionaires, which excludes royalty and dictators ). Such wealth and power makes to difficult to ignore his pronouncements. Photo c/o Getty.

And finally, on March 2nd, the Washington Post announced that Kent, Washington based Blue Origin is planning to develop a lunar spacecraft with a lander dubbed ‘Blue Moon.’

As outlined in the March 2nd, 2017 Washington Post article, "An exclusive look at Jeff Bezos’s plan to set up Amazon-like delivery for ‘future human settlement’ of the moon," Bezos intends to use Blue Moon to establish an Amazon-like shipping service that would deliver equipment needed to establish human settlements on the Moon by the mid-2020s. Blue Moon could also deploy rovers and scientific instruments meant to study the Moon in detail.

As outlined in the article, "the commercial sector's interest comes as many anticipate support from the Trump administration, which is eager for a first-term triumph to rally the nation the way the Apollo flights did in the late 1960s and early 1970s."

It's also worth noting that, as outlined in the March 6th, 2017 Engaget post, "Blue Origin's latest rocket engine is finally complete," Blue Origin CEO Jeff Bezos has just announced his company's new BE-4 on social media.


The timing of these firms’ various announcements, along with President Trump’s consultations with the two most prominent NewSpace CEOs (i.e Musk and Bezos), suggest at least some degree of coordination.

The potential hobbling of NASA through large budget cuts and Trump’s stated ambition for new space achievements may provide a power vacuum which the growing NewSpace industry could fill.

Such a turn of events would be the ‘perfect storm’ of opportunity.
Brian Orlotti.
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Brian Orlotti is a network administrator at KPMG and a regular contributor to the Commercial Space blog.

Monday, February 27, 2017

MacDonald Dettwiler & DigitalGlobe, the Worldview Legion Constellation, Canada's RADARSATs & America's "Deep State"

          By Chuck Black

After a whirlwind romance, which included a truncated public courtship lasting barely a week, Richmond BC based (officially, mostly and for now) MacDonald Dettwiler (MDA) has announced its intent to purchase US based satellite imagery provider DigitalGlobe Inc. (DGI) for about $3.10Bln CDN. It's a deal categorized by some as being "the biggest yet in a fast-consolidating earth-imaging satellite market."

And there's a reason for the public brevity of this courtship.

The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) where MDA shares will soon be publicly traded. Photo c/o History Click.

While the deal provides synergies benefiting existing stockholders and the US government (especially its military and intelligence services), there are entire nations full of people the deal absolutely does not benefit.

Like Canada, for example. Here's what we know so far.

As outlined in the February 24th, 2017 MDA press release, "MDA to Acquire DigitalGlobe, Creating Industry Leader in End-to-End Space Systems, Earth Imagery and Geospatial Solutions," MDA will acquire DGI for $35 US ($46 CDN) per share "in a combination of cash and stock."

The complete transaction provides an equity value of approximately $3.1Bln CDN with an enterprise value of $4.7Bln CDN for DGI, but also includes $1.6Bln CDN in DGI net debt, which will be taken over by MDA.

The transaction has been "unanimously" approved by the boards of directors of both companies and is expected to close in the second half of 2017, contingent on stockholder and regulatory approval.


Those regulatory hoops are perhaps the most interesting given DGI's status as a major subcontractor to the US military and "deep state" intelligence services. As outlined in the press release:
As part of the transaction, MDA will apply to list its shares on the (New York Stock Exchange) NYSE in addition to (its current listing on) the (Toronto Stock Exchange) TSX. Upon completion of the transaction, the combined Company will continue to execute its US Access Plan strategy.
This will include further reorganization of all or part of the combined Company s corporate and operating structure to ensure that the ultimate parent of DigitalGlobe is incorporated in the US by the end of 2019, subject to customary approvals. 
Even better, at least according to the press release, "MDA undertook a corporate reorganization in 2016 that included the formation of SSL MDA Holdings, the US. Operating Company of MDA, under the guidance and approval of the US Department of Defense (DoD)," in order to gain access to US military contracts.

That re-org was discussed in the October 7th, 2016 post, "Iconic MacDonald Dettwiler is Now SSL MDA Holdings, a US Based Company with a Canadian Subsidiary."

It can't be clearer. Canada's MDA, is currently operating "under the guidance and approval" of the US DoD.


Of course, there are synergies and useful business components in the latest deal.

At the very least, the purchase will make it difficult for any company not owned by Delaware incorporated SSL MDA Holdings to effectively bid on the upcoming Worldview Legion Constellation.

As outlined in the February 24th, 2017 Space News post, "In buying DigitalGlobe, MDA ensures SSL will build just-disclosed WorldView Legion constellation," before going public with their plans to merge, "Canada’s MDA Corp. and DigitalGlobe were already working together on a next-generation imaging constellation called WorldView Legion they say will be able to revisit some locations on Earth up to 40 times in a day."

But there are at least one or two business concerns of interest to stakeholders.

MDA CEO Lance. Photo c/o Twitter.
First of all, the investment community is concerned over the total amount of net debt created as a result of the transaction.

Net debt to operating earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) for this deal, often called "net leverage" will work out to approximately 4.1 at the conclusion of the deal, which is substantially higher than the traditional MDA corporate net leverage of around 2.5.

According to MDA CEO Howard Lance, MDA expects to be able to reduce net leverage back down to 3.0 between now and 2020, a period of three years.

Since the net debt to EBITDA ratio is also an estimate of how many years it would take for a company to pay back its debt given no change in conditions, the implication is that MDA is planning only a slow payback of its outstanding debts, and may even be intending to reduce net leverage by growing the company, instead of paying down debts.

And it won't be the last re-org. According to Lance, "'the ultimate parent of DGI" will be incorporated in the US before the end of 2019.

Secondly, as outlined in the February 24th, 2017 Access Wire press release "SHAREHOLDER ALERT: Levi & Korsinsky, LLP Announces an Investigation Concerning Whether the Sale of DigitalGlobe, Inc. to MacDonald Dettwiler and Associates Ltd. is Fair to Shareholders - DGI," at least one US based law firm, NY based Levi & Korsinsky, LLP, has offered to give "shareholders a voice," in the upcoming merger in the form of presently undefined legal action, likely some form of class action lawsuit.

But Levi and Korsinsky lawyers are also exploring or currently engaged in class actions on behalf of shareholders against a variety of companies including Endologix, Inc., Cemtrex, Inc., Inotek Pharmaceuticals Corporation, the Board of Graña y Montero and even FaceBook.

So any reports of potential litigation, especially from this particular firm, should be taken with a grain of salt, at least for now.


Besides, Canadian's don't need a US based "ambulance chaser" to tell us whether or not the deal is good for Canada. As noted above, the deal involces Canadian government security concerns related to the RADARSAT-2 and the upcoming RADARSAT Constellation mission (RCM).

MDA's decision to operate in compliance with US regulations "under the guidance and approval of the US Department of Defense (DoD)," opens up Canadian based programs to US regulations and oversight, even when the contracts are undertaken with the Canadian government using Canadian facilities to support Canadian business and security interests.

In essence, MDA's new corporate structure puts Canadian civilian and military projects at substantial risk when US concerns perceive a need, or even a simple business focused competitive advantage.

Here's a recent example.

As outlined in the March 30th, 2001 Globe and Mail post, "Bilateral spat causing delays, costing millions," RADARSAT-2 was once at the core of a US/ bilateral disagreement relating to its capabilities (which were considered to be equal or better than anything the US was capable of generating at that time) and the potential uses of the satellite data.

Those concerns led the US government to cancel the original NASA launch. A second launch from California was first postponed and then cancelled as well. New components needed to be sourced from non-US based suppliers when the original US suppliers cancelled orders. All told those disruptions and delays led to hundreds of millions of dollars in cost overruns.

Thank goodness MDA, then the prime contractor for RADARSAT-2, was without question, fully and legitimately Canadian owned and operated at the time. Otherwise the program would have completely derailed. RADARSAT-2 was eventually launched on December 14th, 2007, almost seven years late, from Kazakhstan's Baikonur Cosmodrome.

The April 10th, 2008 CBC News post, "Federal government blocks sale of MDA space division." Wanna know why the Federal government under then Prime Minister Stephen Harper blocked the sale of MDA to Alliant Techsystems (ATK) in 2008? That's easy. The Canadian government objected to US efforts to put the kibosh on RADARSAT-2. Screenshot c/o CBC News.

The September 2009 Canadian Space Agency (CSA) document on the "Evaluation of the RADARSAT-2 Major Crown Project," stated explicitly that:
NASA had (originally) agreed to this "Arrangement for Enhanced Co operation in Space between NASA and CSA," signed in May 1994. This document (the "Clark Evans Agreement") was an agreement in principle to co-operate on several undertakings including RADARSAT 2. 
Information in the 2009 RADARSAT-2 Revised Project Brief indicates that NASA informed the CSA in December 1998 that it would not honour the Agreement, citing reasons related to the commercial nature of the satellite and the fact that its enhanced performance would be a major competitor to US industry.
The 2009 CSA evaluation also noted that, while the RADARSAT-2 program was "aimed to develop the (Earth observation) EO sector," and used much the same methodology as was used in the 1970's to grow the Canadian commercial satellite communications sector, the various delays to the program gave other competitors time to generate alternative offerings and prevented Canada from dominating the marketplace.

Trudeau and Harper. Two contrasting Canadian leaders with contradictory ideas of how to best serve Canada. As outlined in the February 27th, 2017 Financial Post article, "Justin Trudeau meets with auto industry as concerns mount over NAFTA," our current PM favors international agreements with open borders and minimal government interference in business decisions. As outlined in the August 27th, 2014 Bloomberg post, "Secret Canada Security Panel Said to Review Foreign Deals," our previous PM favored a more activist approach and rejected the sale of several important Canadian firms to US interests on the basis of national interests. Only time will tell which approach ends up working best. Photos c/o 107.5KoolFM/ Bloomberg.

Of course, MDA is no longer fully and legitimately Canadian owned and operated. MDA, is currently operating "under the guidance and approval" of the US DoD.

Company executives have confirmed this.

Rumour has it that the current Federal government under Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is collaborating with US government and MDA executives in the US and Canada to facilitate US re-incorporation and restructuring to take advantage of US military and government opportunities and benefit MDA shareholders.

If so, they are doing so at the expense of MDA's Canadian employees and the Canadian public at large. The government should be held accountable and a public debate should be held.

Otherwise, our Canadian space industry is going to end up either moving to the US, or working in retail and Canada will loose access to the very useful capabilities available through our RADARSAT program.

RADARSAT Constellation, with MDA as the prime contractor, is currently scheduled for launch sometime in 2018. Here's hoping that our latest Canadian satellites don't end up as part of "'the ultimate (US based) parent of DGI" which MDA CEO Lance has promised for 2019.
Chuck Black.
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Chuck Black is the editor of the Commercial Space blog.

VASIMR Moves Forward; Franklin Chang-Diaz Remains Unbowed

          By Brian Orlotti

The Ad Astra Rocket Company's (AARC) variable specific impulse magneto-plasma rocket engine (VASIMR) has reached a major milestone towards fulfilling its NASA contract. As outlined in the February 23rd, 2017 ArsTechnica UK post, "NASA’s longshot bet on a revolutionary rocket may be about to pay off," VASIMR has been fired at 100kW for 10 seconds and at 50kW for one minute.

Now, reaping the fruits of perseverance after years of criticism, the engine’s designer stands on the verge of opening up more of the solar system to humanity.


Of course, the company still has much to do. 

In 2015, under NASA’s NEXTSTep program, AARC was awarded a three-year, $9Mln USD ($11.8Mln CDN) contract. To fulfill the contract, AARC must fire VASIMR for 100 hours at a power level of 100 kilowatts by 2018.

The VASIMR engine uses radio waves to heat and ionize a propellant (currently, argon gas), turning it into into a plasma, which is then accelerated by magnetic fields to generate thrust. The plasma provides a constant and efficient thrust, building up speed over time.

VASIMIR’s primary advantage over traditional chemical rockets is efficiency; various studies have concluded that a VASIMIR engine would use up to 90% less fuel while carrying equivalent tonnage to chemical rockets. This efficiency could greatly reduce mission costs, significantly improving the economics of spaceflight.

VASIMR is the creation of Dr. Franklin Chang-Díaz, a former NASA Space Shuttle astronaut with seven missions under his belt. In 1969, Chang-Diaz, speaking almost no English at the time, immigrated to the United States from Costa Rica to finish high school. He then earned a doctorate in plasma physics from the MIT. As of 2014, Chang-Díaz is on record (tied with Jerry Ross) for the most spaceflights. Photo c/o AARC.

In 2005, Chang-Diaz founded AARC in Houston, TX to privatize the VASIMIR engine after years of development work at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) and NASA. In 2013, AARC ran a successful Kickstarter campaign to raise funds for developing a documentary about VASIMR, with 603 backers pledging over $76,746 USD (over $100K CDN).

A key Canadian connection to VASIMR exists. Nautel Ltd., a Nova Scotia-based firm specializing in AM/FM transmitters and radio navigational aids, built the solid-state radio emitters used in VASIMIR to heat the xenon gas into plasma. 

Nautel is also known for being the first company to develop a commercially available fully solid state broadcast transmitter and was first profiled in the November 7th, 2009 post, "Our Next Real Canadian Rocket Scientists."

Of course, Chang-Diaz has faced various challenges working toward his goals. For the past several years, he has also been engaged in a bitter, but mostly one way feud, with Mars Society President Robert Zubrin.


Zubrin penned an acidic July 11th, 2011 SpaceNews article titled, ‘The VASIMR Hoax,’ in which he referred to VASIMR as a “hyper drive” and a “hoax” which “must be exposed.” Zubrin has frequently used invitational "debates" at Mars Society conferences to question the capabilities of VASIMR, using Chang-Diaz’s absences as pretexts to slander him.

As outlined in the August 1st, 2011 Space Review article "VASIMR and a new war of the currents," Zubrin, in typically chauvinist and histrionic style, has often attacked VASIMR on technical and ideological grounds.

Zubrin’s main criticisms of VASIMR are that it is less efficient than other types of electric thrusters, requiring unrealistically efficient power sources, and that electric propulsion is unnecessary to reach Mars (and therefore should not be funded).

Chang-Diaz has kept his poise throughout, never stooping to Zubrin’s level. In the Ars Technica article, Chang-Diaz does admit that large but manageable solar arrays would be needed to provide the 1 megawatt of energy needed to power VASIMR.

However, this assumes solar energy levels at Earth’s distance from the Sun. Because solar energy quickly decreases beyond Mars, a solar-powered VASIMR will only be viable within the inner Solar System. Within these limits, however, the technology would still retain its advantages over chemical propulsion.

For travel beyond Mars, Chang-Diaz frankly admits that a nuclear power source will be needed to bring VASIMR to its full potential.

William Ernest Henley from his short poem "Invictus." Graphic c/o izquotes.

Over the years, Chang-Diaz has persevered with his creation through trying obstacles; the endless hustle of fundraising, NASA politics and the parochial pedantry of the space advocacy movement.

In addition, the fact that his goals are nearing fruition amidst a rising tide of hatred and intolerance in the US toward immigrants, particularly Spanish-speaking ones, is of no small significance.

His story is an example of the energy and enlightenment that immigrants bring to other lands.
Brian Orlotti.
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Brian Orlotti is a network administrator at KPMG and a regular contributor to the Commercial Space blog.

Tuesday, February 21, 2017

Where's Canada's "Ministry of Space?"

          By Brian Orlotti

The UK government has announced upcoming legislation to allow spaceports to be built in the United Kingdom; enabling the country, for the first time, to launch its home-built satellites from its own soil.

But the move calls Canada’s own longstanding space policies into question since, much like the UK, the Great White North has also long been unable to launch its own pioneering homegrown spacecraft and has suffered for it.

The new spaceport initiative enjoys broad support throughout the UK, even among tabloid readers. As outlined in the February 20th, 2017 The Sun post, "START SAVING NOW! You could fly to SPACE from the UK within three years as plans for space port are unveiled," the specifics of the new Spaceflight Bill "will be revealed in Parliament this week." Graphic c/o The Sun.

As outlined in the February 20th, 2017 UK government press release, "New legal powers could send UK scientists into space to research vaccines and medicines," the new legislation, called "The Spaceflight Bill," calls for commercial spaceports to be established across the UK beginning in 2020.

These spaceports will provide a variety of services, from satellite launches to space tourism to zero-gravity research.

The Spaceflight Bill builds upon a £10 million GBP ($16.3Mln CDN) grant announced earlier this month by the UK Government’s Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy to create an environment in which the UK’s commercial space sector can thrive.

UK Lord Ahmad. Photo c/o UK Government.
Next steps will involve the UK government encouraging industry to come forward with specific proposals for space launches.

After introduction of the Bill later this year, rules and regulations will be developed for space operators i.e. safety and insurance matters. In addition, the UK government will invite individual commercial space firms to solicit funding to help kick-start a UK space launch industry.

The press release also quoted UK Aviation Minister Lord Ahmad of Wimbledon as stating:
The UK’s space sector is the future of the British economy. It already employs thousands of people and supports industries worth more than £250 million to the economy, and we want to grow it further. Forty years ago, meteorologists couldn’t have imagined the importance of satellites for predicting the weather. Today over 90% of data used in every forecast comes from a satellite, with hundreds of other applications used in GPS, telecommunications and broadband. 
We have never launched a spaceflight before from this country. Our ambition is to allow for safe and competitive access to space from the UK, so we remain at the forefront of a new commercial space age, for the next 40 years.
The UK could have pioneered manned spaceflight in the 1950's,  landed on the Moon in 1957 and established a 700 person colony on Mars by 1969 according to Warren Ellis in his "Ministry of Space" graphic novels. Artwork c/o Chris Weston/  Image Comics.

In his influential 2001 - 2003 graphic novel series, "Ministry of Space," British writer Warren Ellis posits an alternate history in which the UK captured the German rocket base at Peenemünde in World War II before the US and the Soviet Union, and brought all the key personnel and technology to Britain.

The graphic novel mirrored the real-life Operation Paperclip, a secretive United States Joint Intelligence Objectives Agency (JIOA) program in which more than 1,600 German scientists, engineers, and technicians were brought to the United States for government employment from post-Nazi Germany.

Upon this foundation, a new "Ministry of Space" is established to pursue the development of British space technology. Eventually, the ministry forges a new off-world British Empire, ushering an age of unparalleled prestige and prosperity for Britain.

Canada, with its own federal space program withering and its space industry unable to launch its own products despite possessing a skilled scientific and industrial base, stands at its own crossroads. The UK has chosen to see space as a path back to prosperity, not an expense to be minimized.

What choice will Canada make? When will our "Ministry of Space" emerge?
Brian Orlotti.
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Brian Orlotti is a network administrator at KPMG and a regular contributor to the Commercial Space blog.

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